Sweet 16 Predictions

Yaxel Lendborg leads the extravagant spending Michigan Wolverines into Chicago to face the Crimson Tide. (Photo courtesy of USA Today).

Sixteen teams embark on their respective missions to reach Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis for the Final Four Saturday, April 4th, as the teams lock horns in the Sweet 16, which begins on Thursday. A lot of talent in this final 16 group in what has been a highly enjoyable college basketball season. Here are predictions for the 8 games that commence Thursday Night, with 4 games on tap Thursday. And then on Friday Night, there will be 4 more games on the docket.

Record for 2025

Sweet 16 through National Championship Game- along with 2025 SEC Tourney Predictions, though some of the ATS and Over/Under games were not applicable in the SECT due to misses straight up in some games.

Straight up: 19-10; ATS: 14-14; Over/Under: 14-9.

2026 Predictions from the SEC Tournament and 3 Vanderbilt games-SEC Championship Game and two NCAA games

SU: 8-7; ATS: 7-8; O/U: 11-4

Thursday’s games

All teams No.’s are their seeds in region, not their national ranking.

West Region

No.11 Texas (21-14) vs. No.2 Purdue

SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose, CA., 18,543

6:10 PM CT/7:10 ET

CBS


Brian Anderson, Jim Jackson, Allie LaForce

Purdue by 7 1/2, 148 1/2

I’ll take the Boilermakers to advance to the Elite 8.

Purdue 78, Texas 70

South Region

No.9 Iowa (23-12) vs. Nebraska (28-6)

Toyota Center, Houston, 18,104

6:30 PM CT
/7:30 ET

TBS/truTV

Kevin Harlan, Stan Van Gundy, Robbie Hummel, Lauren Shehadi

Nebraska by 1 1/2, 131 1/2

Give me those scrappy Cornhuskers over another scrappy team in the Hawkeyes.

Nebraska 68, Iowa 62

West

No.4 Arkansas (28-8) vs. No.1 Arizona (34-2)

SAP Center, San Jose

8:45 P.M. CT/9:45 ET

CBS

Brian, Jim, Allie

Zona by 7 1/2, 166 1/2

I’m going to take Darius Acuff Jr. and John Calipari to pull off the upset

Arkansas 84, ‘Zona 83

South

No.3 Illinois (26-8) vs. No.2 Houston (30-6)


Toyota Center, Houston

9:05 P.M. CT/10:05 ET

TBS/truTV

Kevin, Stan Van, Robbie, Lauren

Houston by 3 1/2, 140 1/2

I don’t see this Houston team as good as 2025’s National Championship runner-up, but I still like’em a lot. And they’re at home.

Houston 71, Illini 67

Friday‘s games

East Region

No.6 St. John’s (30-6) vs. No.1 Duke (34-2)

Capital One Arena, D.C., 20,356

6:10 P.M. CT/7:10 ET

CBS

Ian, Bill, Grant, Trace

Duke by 6 1/2, 141 1/2


This will be a classic, and I’ll take the “maestro,” as Dickie V. calls him. Give me the savvy veteran St. John’s coach, Richard Anthony Pitino. I love St. John’s 6’9″, 245 senior power forward Zuby Ejiofor from Garland, Texas as well.

St. John’s 72, Duke 70

Midwest

No.4 Alabama (25-9) vs. No. Michigan

United Center, Chicago, 20, 917

6:35 P.M. CT/7:35 ET

TBS/truTV

Andrew Catalon, Steve Lappas, Evan Washburn

Michigan by 9 1/2, 174 1/2

Nate Oats isn’t my favorite person right now with all that’s gone on in his program the last three years, but he’s got a very good basketball team. The Crimson Tide sank 19 trifectas against Texas Tech on 30 attempts this past Sunday Night. I really like the way this team is playing right now.

Give me Philon, Philon, Philon, Latrell Wrightsell, Houston Mallette and that excellent shooting offense. I also like the way the Crimson Tide is playing defense right now, and I see Aiden Sherrell holding his own underneath against Yaxel Linderborg and Aday Mara. Aiden is high quality and a class act. I’ll go with the massive upset in Chitown. Bama shoots its way into the Elite 8, locks down just enough on defense and keeps it close on the boards.

Crimson Tide 89, Michigan 86

East

No.3 Michigan State (27-7) vs. No.2 UConn (31-5)

Capital One Arena

8:45 P.M. CT/9:45 ET

CBS

Ian, Bill, Grant, Trace

UConn by 1 1/2, 135 1/2

This should be a classic. Give me the great Tom Izzo and his Spartans to advance.

Michigan State 68, UConn 66

Midwest

No.5 Tennessee (24-11) vs. No.2 Iowa State (29-7)

United Center

9:10 PM CT/10:10 ET

TBS/truTV

Andrew, Steve, Evan

Iowa State by 4 1/2, 138 1/2

I’m bullish on this Cyclones team. They advance to face the Crimson Tide in the Elite 8.

Iowa State 73, Tennessee 68





















8 Responses

  1. I love the upset predictions. Arkansas is peaking at the right time and if Bama can handle Michigan big guys both of your upset picks will be genius. Thanks for your predictions

  2. Dang DW… I thought you were gonna say Bama loses by 25. I love the T-town enthusiasm. I hope your hometown predictions are dead on. Go Bama…final 4…? At least we’re playing with house money!

  3. I’m late to the gym on this one. What a night of games last night. More of the same tonight.
    We attended the Gator game last Sunday here in Tampa. Tough loss.
    Thanks for everything you provide.
    NIT! War Eagle!

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