Brad H. Cox has two of the favorites running at Churchill Downs, Commandment and Further Ado. (Photo courtesy of Twinspires).
Today at 5:57 Central/6:57 East is post time for the 152nd running of the American Classic/Epic, Kentucky Derby. NBC and Peacock will broadcast.
It’s a wide open field. There have been some scratches, as usual, one being a favorite in the race, The Puma. Bama Golf was high on this thoroughbred. Bama’ll adjust. Here’s a look at the field including the horses, its odds, the trainers and the jockeys in that order. It’s an all star cast of trainers and jockeys with the best in the business competing. Below that, I’ll pick the winner of the Derby along with my trifecta pick.
1. Renegade, 5/1, Todd Pletcher (going for his third Derby), Irad Ortiz Jr.
2. Albus, 50/1, Riley Mott, Manny Franco.
3. Intrepido, 55/1, Jeff Mullins, Hector Berrios
4. Litmus Test, 34/1, Bob Baffert (five time Derby winner), Martin Garcia
5. Right to Party, scratched
6. Commandment, 7/1, Brad H. Cox, Luis Saez
7.Danon Bourbon, 14/1, Manabu Ikezoe, Atsuya Nishimura, Japanese horse
8. So Happy, 6/1, Mark Glatt, Mike Smith
9. The Puma, scratched
10. Wonder Dean, 20/1, Yoshinari Yamamoto, Daisuke Takayanagi, Japanese horse
11. Incredibolt, 27/1, Riley Mott, Jaime Torres
12. Chief Wallabee, 9/1, William Mott, Junior Alvarado
13. Silent Tactic, scratched
Horses moved up in posts due to Silent Tactic withdrawal. Significant for one of the favorites.
13. Potente, 23/1, Bob Baffert, Juan Hernandez
14. Emerging Market, 11/1, Chad Brown, Flavien Prat
16. Six Speed, 40/1, Bhupat Seemar, Brian Hernandez Jr.
17. Further Ado, 7/1, Brad H. Cox, John Valazquez, the 17 post has never won a Derby, 0 for 46
18. Golden Tempo, 36/1, Cherie DeVaux, Jose Ortiz
19. Fulleffort, scratched
20. Great White, 29/1, John Ennis, Alex Achard
21. Ocelli, 50/1, D. Whitworth Beckman, Tyler Gaffalione
22. Robusta, 50/1, Doug O’Neill, Christian Torres
Winner/ Predictions
Commandment is a really good horse and in a solid post position at 6. He won the Florida Derby, making Brombey a happy man. That’s a pretty good indicator of Derby success as several Florida Derby winners have gone on to win the Kentucky Derby. Further Ado, another Brad H. Cox horse, is a terrific runner, but has the dreaded post 17 where a horse has never won a Derby. There’s always a first. Renegade is the favorite, but has a tough post position at No.1. The inside rail is tough to emerge victorious from.Emerging Market is a horse to look out
But I’m going to take 53 year old trainer Mark Glatt, an Auburn, Washington native, whose wife passed away in February due to heart failure. They had been married 25 years. And the great 60 year old Mike Smith is on this pony’s ride. Smith won the Derby in 2005, and in 2018. In ’18, he won it on Justify and went on to win the Triple Crown on Justify. He has also won two Preaknesses (1993, 2018) and three Belmonts (2010, 2013, 2018). Give me this team and their horse, the Santa Anita Derby winner.
So Happy
I’ll take So Happy at Churchill Downs. (Photo Courtesy of Thoroughbred Daily).
Can Scheffler get over the hump this week after finishing second at Augusta National to Rory by a shot and losing to Matt Fitzpatrick in a playoff at the RBC Heritage? (Photo courtesy of Wikipedia).
Trump National Doral, the Blue Monster course, aptly named, will host the 5th Signature event of the PGA Tour season Thursday as 72 tour players tee it up in Miami for the Cadillac Championship. This will be the 56th time the tournament will be played at Doral. It was played as the Doral Open from 1962-2006, and as the WGC Cadillac from 2007-2016. It took a hiatus from a while after some controversy with President Trump. But it’s back now and ready to roll.
Leading the field is Scottie Scheffler, as Matt’ Fitzie” Fitzpatrick, as Bama Golf likes to call him, is taking the week off after winning three of the last four events he’s entered, which includes the Valspar Championship, the RBC Heritage, the fourth Signature event this year, good for a $3.6 million first place check, and last week at TPC Louisiana in the Zurich Classic playing with his brother Alex, who, thanks to big brother hitting a bunker shot to a foot on the par 5 18th for birdie, earned his tour card and is in the field this week.
Per the Trump National Golf Club website, there are many terrific and intensely challenging holes on this course sand and water all over the track. The 15th hole is a 157 yard, Par 3 with a peninsula green demanding the player to land it safely over the water and accurately onto the green with water on all four sides of the green. With the wind playing a role this week, 15 could be somewhat a bear for the players. Hole 16 is a 370 yard, Par 4, that is drivable for the longest hitters, Scheffler being one of them, but there are four bunkers surrounding the green, so the best play may be to hit a fairway wood or a 4 or 5 iron and play for birdie. Hole 17 is a 458 yard, par 4, it doglegs left to right, so a good drive carries the right hand fairway bunker and gives the player an optimal second shot. Could be a birdieable hole, but with the wind coming up this week/weekend, maybe not. I want to go back one more hole before describing the terrifically challenging 18th at the Blue Monster. The 12th hole is a 667 yard, par 5 with the wind definitely impacting how the players navigate this hole. Several bunkers align the 12th. There is one on the right side of the fairway, one on the left, and the green is heavily bunkered with five surrounding it. These guys are the best, so they can handle these holes better than anybody in the world, so it may not be as daunting as it sounds to a weekend player. But with the wind this week, it may very well be. The 18th is a 473 yard, par 4 and is considered one of the toughest holes on the PGA Tour. Water runs all along the left side of the hole, so hitting it to the right side of the fairway is a must. Getting in the right rough and dealing with those palm trees is no bargain, so the player will need to keep it in the short grass. The bermuda rough will be at 3 inches, so the player will have to probably chip it out of the rough on 18 and try to get up and down for par. Any slight draw, and the player is “dead in the water.”
The course is playing 7,739 yards and is a stock par 72. At 7,739, according to Rob Bolton of PGA Tour.com, the Blue Monster is the second longest course on tour this year only 26 yards shorter than Torrey Pines. The fellas will be tested.
The bermuda greens will be stimping at 12, so decent speed, but, as of now, the wind will be a major factor. Dick Wilson designed the course in 1962. He’s known for several other courses, including Bay Hill in 1961, and The Greenbriar. Gil Hanse redesigned the course in 2013-14. Hanse also redid Olympic Club in San Francisco, Southern Hills in Tulsa, and Winged Foot in New York. All of three of those courses are consistent major venues.
Collin Morikawa is in pretty good form right now and looks to capture his second Signature Event in 2026 after winning the AT&T Pebble Beach in February.( Photo courtesy of Official World Golf Rankings).
Weather
Thursday: Sunny, 85, winds SSW at 10-20 MPH.
Friday: Partly sunny, 86, winds SSE 10-15.
Saturday: Sunny, 88, Winds, S 15-25.
Sunday, not so great, as of today, but could change. T-storms likely, 82. 90% chance of t-storms. Winds NNE 10-15. So, the wind will totally change direction on Sunday.
Challenging wind conditions are in store. I know the players are hoping Sunday won’t be an inclement day. Florida has intermittent spurts of t-storms and they can pass through quickly. Remains to be seen.
TV Coverage
Thursday-Friday: 2-6 P.M. CT, 3-7 ET, Golf Channel.
Saturday-Sunday: 11 A.M.-2 P.M. CT/ 12-3 ET, GC; 2-5 P.M. CT/3-6 ET, CBS, Paramount+.
Odds
Scheffler: 3/1; Cam Young: 12/1; Morikawa, 20/1; Chris Gotterup, 25/1; Tommy Fleetwood, 27/1; Min Woo Lee: 27/1; Russell Henley: 27/1; Sam Burns, 27/1; Jake Knapp, 30/1; Si Woo Kim, 33/1; Hideki, 33/1; Adam Scott, 35/1; Maverick McNealy, 35/1; Vik Hovland, 35/1; Kurt Kitayama, 40/1; Jacob Bridgeman, 40/1; Justin Rose, 40/1; Nicolai Hojgard, 40/1; Harris English, 40/1; Michael Thorbjornsen, 40/1; Jordan Spieth, 50/1; Akshay Bhatia, 50/1; Gary Woodland, 50/1: Sepp Straka, 55/1; J.J. Spaun, 60/1; Shane Lowry, 70/1; Jason Day, 70/1; Justin Thomas 70/1.
White’s World’s winner
I’m going to kind of go out on a limb here and take the 36 year old from Valdosta, Georgia (great high school football country), by way of the University of Georgia, and now living in Sea Island. He finished tied for 4th at the RBC Heritage two weeks ago, and played pretty solidly at Augusta National finishing tied for 30th at one under. He’s won 5 times on tour. He won the 2013 Fed Ex St. Jude Classic in Memphis at TPC Southwind, the 2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba in Mexico, the 2021 Sentry of Champions in Hawaii, the 2021 Travelers Championship, the final Signature event this season, the 8th one, and he won the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey. He’s an excellent putter as he is 8th on tour in Strokes Gained: Putting. He putted very well at Harbour Town two weeks ago at the RBC Heritage. Give me:
Harris English
I’ll take Harris English to capture the Cadillac Championship at the Blue Monster Course at Doral. (Photo courtesy of The Travelers Championship).
Sleeper
I’ll take the guy who ate at Craft’s/ 280 a few nights ago. He was with his family, so I don’t think he made it to the Fennec. Derrick doin work.
Sepp Straka
‘
And Last, but most importantly…
Today is Walter “WP” Pittman’s 35th? birthday. Just joshin’ Walter. You’re better at your age than many of these early to mid 30 somethings are at their’s. Hope you’re having a phenomenal day. The Blog appreciates you.
Saturday
The 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby: Preview/Prediction.
Bama Golf, Joseph D. with an excellent prediction of Matthew Fitzpatrick, the hottest golfer on the planet, winning the Signature Event RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head. (Photo courtesy of Baggett Transportation).
Joseph “Bama Golf” Donald made a prophetic prediction a couple of weeks ago when he predicted Matt “Fitzie” Fitzpatrick to win the RBC Heritage. Great stuff from Bama G, who is a terrific predictor.
“Spike Me Up” John “Brombey” Bromberg, another winner in his own right, correctly picked the three year old thoroughbred, Commandment, ridden by Flavien Prat and trained by Brad H., Cox, to win the Florida Derby. Brombey was down at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, FL. about 20 miles north of Miami. It’s in between Miami and Fort Lauderdale.
Brombey’s reaction was epic. This is called, as now LSU basketball coach (again) Will Wade , would say (paraphrasing), “a strong — reaction.” Here’s Brombey’s electric moment when he showed his ticket that he would be cashing on Commandment.
Brombey’s classic reaction. (Video courtesy of Amy “Sweetie” Bromberg).
Great stuff from the fellas. I care a lot about my commenters. Walter, Excedrin, Bama Golf, Spike Me Up, MB, Derrick, WT, EHS ’80, and Charles B. Perkins make my day when I see their comments on the Blog, and also relish getting private emails from K Sevier, my illustrious wife, Chris “CK” King from Nashville and Bo.C. from Dallas.
Matt “Fitzie” Fitzpatrick hit a four iron from 204 yards to 13 feet in the playoff of the RBC Heritage and canned the birdie putt to outlast the great Scottie Scheffler and capture the Tartan Jacket and the $3.6 million first place check that came with it. I texted Joseph and he told me he just likes Fitzie’s toughness. I agree with that. Fitzie and his brother, Alex , just won the Zurich Classic at TPC Louisiana at 31 under, as ‘Fitzie” hit a bunker shot from 20 yards to a foot on 18, and Alex tapped in the birdie putt on the par 5 to secure the one shot Fitzpatrick brothers’ victory over a couple of other teams and earned Alex his PGA Tour card. Alex will now be playing in the Signature Event this week, the Cadillac Championship, at Trump National Doral, the Blue Monster Course. Should be terrific. Fitzie, Matt that is, is sitting this one out. The first place prize is once again $3.6 million as is the custom for Signature events, and there is a stellar field with Scheffler the 3/1 favorite at this point. More on the Cadillac tomorrow in my Preview/Predictions column on that classic tourney.
And the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby is Saturday. At present, the favorite is Renegade, the Arkansas Derby winner from March 28th at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas, 55 miles southwest of Little Rock. That was the same day Brombey won at Gulfstream Park with Commandment. Renegade is a 9/2 favorite presently. Commandment is at 9/1. Renegade, trained by Todd Pletcher, a two time Derby winner, will be ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr.. The horse is in the No.1 Post position, a pretty tough post to win at. Commandment, trained by Brad H. Cox, will be ridden by Luis Saez, is at 9/1. Flavien Prat, the winning jockey on Commandment at the Florida Derby, will be riding Louisiana Derby champion Emerging Market. Emerging Market’s odds are at 13/1. Chad C. Brown is the horse’s trainer.
I’ll have a lot more on Saturday with a Preview and Predictions column for the 152nd Run for the Roses.
Now to the Playoffs in the NHL and NBA, along with my predicitions of which teams I like to win those respective Leagues’ championships.
Stanley Cup Playoffs
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
TB Lightning over Buffalo Sabres in 7
Carolina Hurricanes over Pittsburgh Penguins in 7
Both hard fought series.
Conference Finals
Hurricanes over Lightning in 7
Carolina edges out a superbly talented Tampa team to make the Stanley Cup Finals.
Western Conference
Conference Semis
Anaheim Ducks over Utah Mammoth in 7
Colorado Avalanche over Dallas Stars in 6
Conference Finals
Avalanche over Ducks in 5
Stanley Cup Finals
The Avalanche won the you would call it the “dreaded” President’s Trophy for having the best record/most points during the regular season. The last team to win the President’s Trophy and the Stanley Cup was the 2012-13 Chicago Blackhawks. See a lot of Blackhawks games on the TV and banners on the walls on my favorite TV shows, Chicago Fire and Chicago PD. Fire is on for its 14th season and PD is in its 13th season. Both are renewed for 2026-27. Amazing shows. I’m on season 9 of Fire and season 6 of PD. A lot of Blackhawks stuff on those shows. But I believe in this curse that is winning the President’s Trophy. So I’m going to take a very strong Carolina team in a thriller.
Hurricanes over Avalanche in 7
Conn Smythe Trophy, Most Valuable Player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs
Sebastian Aho
Center Sebastian Aho and Carolina capture Carolina’s second Stanley Cup in its 29 year history in Raleigh. They also won the Cup in 2006 over Edmonton in 7 games. (Photo courtesy of NBC Sports).
Coverage on ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, TNT, TBS and truTV with the Finals exclusively on ABC. Goes into June.
NBA Playoffs Predictions
Eastern Conference
Conference Semis
Cleveland Cavaliers over Orlando Magic in 7
Celtics over Knicks in 6
Conference Finals
Celtics over Cavs in 6
Western Conference
Conference Semis
OKC over Lakers in 6
Denver Nuggets over San Antonio Spurs in 7
Conference Finals
OKC Thunder over Nuggets in 6
NBA Finals
I’ll take the Boston Celtics to win their 19th Championship in their 80 year franchise existence. The Celtics have won 18 now and the Lakers have 17. Interesting competition still ongoing.
Celtics over Thunder in 7.
Finals MVP
Jaylen Brown
Jaylen Brown leads his Celtics to another NBA Championship denying the OKC Thunder back to back world championships. (Photo courtesy of Reuters).
Coverage on ABC, ESPN, NBC, Peacock and Amazon Prime with the Finals exclusively on ABC.
Wednesday: The Cadillac Championship, Preview/Prediction.
The elite power forward for the Pacers, Pascal Siakum, sets his sights on getting Indiana its first NBA Championship in the franchise’s 49 years of existence. (Photo courtesy of The Sporting News).
The coveted Larry O’Brien Trophy is in the balance as the Oklahoma City Thunder square off with the Indiana Pacers in the NBA Finals beginning tonight at 7:30 CT on ABC. These young, highly successful teams have been dominant in the playoffs and both are playing at an extremely high level. For OKC, it’s about the prolific Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The 26- year old, 6’6″, 195, 2025 NBA Most Valuable Player out of Toronto, Canada, by way of Kentucky, averaged 32.7 points per game in the regular season, and has averaged 29.8 in the playoffs. In his two most recent games against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Western Conference Finals, the Thunder’s point guard went for 40 and 34 on May 26th and May 28th, respectively. He’s a scoring machine and will be exceptionally tough for the Pacers to stop. The Pacers counter with their great scorer, Pascal Siakum. Siakum, the 31 year old 6’8″, 245 power forward from Douala, Cameroon, by way of New Mexico State, averaged 20.2 points and 6.9 rebounds in the regular season and has gone for 21.1 and 5.8 in the playoffs. He went for 39 against the Knicks on Friday, 5/23, in the Eastern Conference Finals, 30 on Tuesday, 5/27, and 31 in the decisive game 6 Pacers’ victory on Saturday, 5/31. There are several other stellar players on both sides. Nice matchup.
Game Schedule, *****All games on ABC*****
Game 1: Today, Pacers @ Thunder, 7:30 P.M. CT
Game 2: Sunday, 6/8/25, Pacers @ Thunder, 7 P.M. CT
Game 3: Wednesday, 6/11, Thunder@ Pacers, 7:30 P.M. CT
Game 4: Friday, 6/13, Thunder @Pacers, 7:30 P.M. CT
Game 5 (if necessary): Monday,6/16, Pacers @Thunder, 7:30 P.M. CT
The terrific, young Gilgeous- Alexander leads OKC to its first NBA Championship in the franchise’s 17-year existence. They moved from Seattle in 2008. (Photo courtesy of The Oklahoman).
The 157th Running of The Belmont Stakes
Post time for the Belmont, being run at Saratoga Springs, N.Y. for the second year in a row as Belmont Park is still under construction, is at 6:04 P.M. CT and will be broadcast by FOX. The race course is the longest of the Triple Crown races at a mile and a half. The race featutes an eight horse field. Here are the post positions, horses, odds, trainers and jockeys.
Post positions, Horses, Odds, Trainers, Jockeys
1. Hill Road, 10/1, Chad Brown, Irad Ortiz, Jr
2. Sovereignty, 2/1, Bill Mott, Junior Alvarado
3. Rodriguez, 6/1, Mike Smith, Bob Baffert
4. Uncaged, 30/1, Todd Pletcher, Luis Saez
5. Crudo, 15/1, Todd Pletcher, John Velazquez
6. Baeza, 4/1, John Shirreffs, Flavien Prat
7. Journalism, 8/5, Michael McCarthy, Umberto Rispoli
8. Heart of Honor, 30/1 Jamie Osborne, Saffie Osborne,
Winner
I’m going to take the 17 time Triple Crown winning 72 year old trainer Baffert (3 Belmonts) and the 8 time Triple Crown winning 59 year old jockey Smith (3 Belmonts) to capture “The Test of the Champion,” on the grueling mile and a half course. The track will be pretty muddy as there was a lot of rain in New York State during the spring and will be in these upcoming two days. This thoroughbred won the Wood Memorial in April run in Queens, New York at the Aqueduct Racetrack covering a mile and an eighth in 1:48:15, the fastest mile and an eighth run in the Kentucky Derby prep races in April. Give me:
Rodriguez
Going with Rodriguez to capture the 157th running of the Belmont Stakes. (Photo courtesy of TwinSpires.com).
I’ve been correct on the last 3 winners of the Derby, California Chrome in 2014, Triple Crown winner American Pharoah in 2015 (what a horse, first since Affirmed in 1978 to win the Triple Crown), and Nyquist last year. Haven’t had as much success with the last 3 Preakness and Belmont predictions, but this year is a new year, so charged up for this year’s Triple Crown season. Feel good about the favorite in this one. The 3 year old’s trainer, Todd Pletcher, is an experienced hand who won the Derby in 2010 with Super Saver. The 50 year old Pletcher has 4,000+ victories and counting. Jockey John Velazquez, 45, won the Derby aboard Animal Kingdom in 2011. Velazquez, born in Carolina, Puerto Rico, has approximately 5,590 victories on his resume. Both Pletcher and Velazquez have 2 Belmont victories as well. Like this dynamic duo and I really like this horse, which is extremely impressive looking. Like the horse’s genealogy, too, as his sire is Bodemister which won the 2012 Arkansas Derby and was runner-up at the 2012 Derby and Preakness respectively. This colt won the Florida Derby at 1 1/8 miles in on April 1st, won on Gulfstream Park in Florida on March 4th (1 1/8 miles), and also at Tampa Bay Downs (1 mile, 40 yards). He’s 3 for 3 this year, all on dirt tracks, which is the surface at Churchill Downs. This 3 year old is a good looking, powerful horse with massively built legs. Churchill Downs got a ton of rain yesterday, but the forecast is for sunny skies beginning at noon today, and the track dries well at Churchill Downs, so expecting a fast track by post time. Irish War Cry and Classic Empire will challenge, but I’m going with the 5:1 colt to be victorious in “the Most Exciting 2 minutes in sports,” capturing the 143rd Kentucky Derby.
Always Dreaming
Like the team of Pletcher (above, photo courtesy of Daily Racing Form) and Velazquez (middle, photo courtesy of the Kentucky Derby 2017) to emerge victorious on their terrifically built and super looking horse, Always Dreaming (bottom, photo courtesy of Daily Racing Form).
Golf season is in full bore mode now, with several 20 somethings dominating the circuit, but with some younger vets like Dustin Johnson and Rickie Fowler winning the past two weeks, D.J. at Riviera and Rickie at the Honda in Miami this past weekend. This week the tour alights in Mexico City for the WGC-Mexico Championship. This is a big time tournament usually played at Trump National Doral, but with POTUS’s comments last year on the Wall, the Tour didn’t take that very well, and moved the site. Kind of a shame that the players can’t compete at the Blue Monster and that epic 18th hole, but maybe it’ll come back and Club de Golf Chapultepec looks like an interesting, scenic venue with 50 of the top players in the world. I will have my prediction at the bottom of this column.
The Arnie is coming up, and the majestic 81st Masters is just over a month away. The Players will be in May at TPC Sawgrass, the 117th playing of the U.S. Open in June will take place at Erin Hills in Wisconsin, about 35 miles outside of Milwaukee. Erin Hills has never hosted a major, but has hosted the 2011 U.S. Amateur, won by Kelly Kraft, who is making a move on the tour now. The 146th Open Championship in July will be played at Royal Birkdale in England, which has hosted the Open 10 times, the last won in 2008 won by Padraig Harrington. The 98th PGA Championship will be played at famed Quail Hollow Golf Club in Charlotte, N.C. which has never hosted a major, but is a classic venue and has hosted the Wells Fargo Championship, a regular event on the tour, for many years.
Will Jordan Spieth recapture the magic like he looks like he very well could? Will D.J, win a second major? With his length, Augusta National looks possible. Will Jason Day get his momentum back from two years ago? He certainly has that eliteness about him that allows him to win at any of the four majors. How will Rory come back from his rib injury? If he can, he wants the Masters to complete the career grand slam and win his 5th major title at 27 years old. Then there are guys like Rickie, Sneds, and others trying to capture their first major. Two guys you might call, as John Feinstein labeled those kind of players in his book, The Majors, “Best Players not to have won a major.” Henrik, Justin Rose, Jimmy Walker, the list goes on, all of them have captured a major title with Rose winning the U.S. Open in 2013 and Henrik and Walker both winning majors last year, Henrik at the Open Championship and Walker at the PGA. And, of course, Justin Thomas and Hideki Matsuyama are banging on the door to win not just one major, but multiple majors. Both are chomping at the bit to don the Green Jacket in Butler’s Cabin on Sunday, April 9th.
So a lot of extraordinary storylines heading into the heart of the season. Will have major coverage the rest of what looks like an electric season.
March Madness
The great Frank Mason III and Kansas look formidable
Can Cal and the Cats have some magic in March and capture their second national championship since 2012 and their 9th overall
This is such a sensational time of year in sports, and college basketball is at its best right now with the historically good NCAA tournament coming up. It’s a pretty top heavy field this year with quite a few exceptional teams having a shot of cutting down the nets in Phoenix on Monday, April 3rd.
The four teams that really stick out to me right now are North Carolina, with their tremendous length under the basket, their ability to rebound, and their always prolific offensive ability. If they can defend well, they could very well be cutting down the nylon. Kansas is a superb team, led by All American guards Frank Mason III and Devonte Graham and superstar freshman small forward Josh Jackson. Villanova is superb again and going for back to back national titles, which would be the first time since Florida accomplished that under Billy Donovan in ’06-’07. And I’m starting to get bullish on Kentucky. They’re putting it together and with all that Parade All American talent, they’re in the mix every year. They are peaking well.
But there are other teams that have a good shot at the national title and certainly the Final Four. Duke, Louisville, Baylor are all outstanding, UCLA and Oregon have super teams, Zona is very good. I’m not as big on the Big Ten teams this season. Virginia lost a lot off last year’s team, but the way the play defense gives them a chance to make a run. I like Syracuse a lot, too, and Va Tech has a good squad that could knock some people off. Wisconsin and Purdue look like the best teams in the Big Ten, but not good enough to make the Final Four. Michigan State will be competitive, but they’ve been really hampered by injuries, so this is not their year. Wichita State has another really good team under Greg Marshall that can go some distance.
For SEC Cinderellas, I like Florida to do really well with a shot to make it to the Final Four. They’re excellent. I see South Carolina making some noise and being a second weekend team. Arkansas is up and down, but pretty darn good when they’re up. Vanderbilt is in right now, according to Joe Lunardi, ESPN bracketologist, but they’ve got work to do. They have a huge game at home against Florida on Saturday, which they have to have, and then they’ll need to win at least 2 games in the SEC tournament to get invited to the Big Dance. They have the No.1 non-conference strength of schedule and No.2 strength of schedule overall with victories on the road over Florida and Arkansas, and South Carolina at home, so it’s a pretty good resume. But the Dores have work to do.
For real Cinderellas, Middle Tennessee State has a really good team as does Monmouth.
Will have my bracket out the Monday after Selection Sunday, which is March 12th.
NBA
Can Kawhi Leonard (above) dethrone LeBron, and outlast Steph and KD in the postseason
I watched a superb game last night in the National Basketball Association as the Celtics defeated the Cavs, 103-99, at the “Gaaden,” in Boston. I saw one of the best defensive players I’ve seen in a long time in Avery Bradley. Bradley was like stickem on Kyrie Irving, one of the most prolific offensive players in the NBA along with Steph, Bron, KD and Russ Westbrook. They used to call Gary Payton, who played many years for the Seattle Supersonics in the 80’s and 90’s, “the Glove” because his defense was as tight as a glove on an offensive player. He was a terrific defender. That’s what Bradley looks like. And a really interesting part of the game happened with 1:08 left, when Bradley drained a trifecta, and the camera went into the crowd to show Bill Belichick, a huge Celtics fan. While the rest of the Boston faithful were going berserk, Bill immediately looked up at the clock in a calm, cool fashion like all the great ones do. His coaching job in the Super Bowl with his Patriots down by 28 in the third quarter was nothing short of sensational. He’s a cool customer and knew there was a lot of game left. He wasn’t satisfied until the clock struck :00. Isaiah Thomas, no relation to the great one, but certainly becoming a great one, canned a 30 foot triple with 49 ticks left and the Celtics sank some free throws and held off Bron and Kyrie to capture an electric victory. The Cavs got a good look with :05 left as LeBron found an open Deron Williams in the corner, with the Cavs down 101-99, for what could have been the game winning triple. But Williams missed, the Celtics got the board, and held on with free throws.
In my preseason predictions, I predicted the San Antonio Spurs to capture the Larry O’Brien Trophy winning in 7 over the Cavs. Kawhi Leonard of the Spurs was my MVP pick. The Dubs are still awesome with Steph, KD and Klay Thompson, and, at 50-10, look extremely formidable. But KD is out for four weeks with a sprained MCL and a bone bruise in his left leg, but will be back a week or two before the playoffs start on April 15th, a Saturday. The Spurs are 46-13 and 3.5 games back of the Dubs in the west. The Cavs are 41-18 and have a 3 game lead over the Celtics, which are at 39-22. Still bullish on my Spurs over Cavs pick though it’s tough to go against the Warriors with that eliteness they have talent-wise, and the Celtics have really come on. But going to stick with my prediction in October barring major injuries. Will have my updated predictions for the NBA playoffs that Saturday, 4-15. Kawhi hit a huge 12 footer last night with 2 seconds left to lift the Spurs to a 100-99 victory over the Indiana Pacers. Kawhi is averaging 26 points and 6 boards and is a prolific defender, much like Bradley. Should be terrific in April with the playoffs starting. Like that Big four to be in their respective conference finals.
In the NHL, I like the Chicago Blackhawks. They are a machine and have won the Stanley Cup most recently in 2010, 2013 and 2015 and have won 7 overall. Patrick Kane pulled off a hat trick last night in the ‘Hawks 4-1 victory over defending Stanley Cup Champion Pittsburgh. Really like the way they’re playing and have them in the west. I’m a little more uncertain about the east. The Washington Capitals have the best record in hockey at 42-13, and the most points with 91, but Washington was superb in the regular season last year and melted down in the playoffs. So while I like the Blackhawks over the Minnesota Wild in the west, I see the east as more of a toss up. Still believe in Sydney Crosby and the defending champion Pens, but the Caps, and the Columbus Blue Jackets have really good teams. The Montreal Canadians are good this season, too. Not counting out the Tampa Bay Lightning in the east either. They were in the finals two years ago and are starting to play well again. Anaheim is a challenger in the west. Will have NHL playoff predictions on Wednesday, April 12th, the day the playoffs commence.
MLB is in full stride in spring training. I like the Cubs again to do very well, but to be really challenged by the Dodgers. In the AL, I like the Indians and the Bosox with the Rangers and the Astros as key competitors. Also still like the Giants and Nationals in the NL. Will have those predictions on Saturday, April 1st.
In professional tennis, Roger and Serena were epic at the Australian Open. It was a masterpiece performance for both all time great superstars. Serena won her 23rd slam and moved ahead of Steffi Graf for most majors in a career in the Open Era, which started in 1968 when professionals were allowed to compete with amateurs in the slams. Margaret Court holds the overall record with 24, so Serena still has something to gun for. There are some good competitors challenging Serena in Angelique Kerber, Karolina Pliskova and Carolina Wozniacki looks back. Garbine Muguruza won the French last year defeating Serena in a dominating performance. American Coco Vandeweghe is really coming on, and, of course, Venus, is still playing at a high level with her 7 slams under her belt.
It was pretty remarkable seeing Roger face Rafa again in a major final. Roger played like 39 year old Tom Brady does, who has a patent on the Fountain of Youth. Brady plays like a 25 year old and says he feels even better now than he did then, and that’s what the 35 year old Fed did in beating Rafa in an epic 5 setter, winning the 5th, 6-3, in an unstoppable performance. Roger now has 18 slams. Rafa is tied with Pete Sampras for second at 14, and Joker is tied with Roy Emerson and Rod Laver at 12. It’ll be interesting to see how this plays out this summer, whether Joker or Rafa can stay on Roger’s heels, or if Roger can extend his all time lead. Next up is the French, May 29th-June 11th, where Rafa has won 9 times, the last one coming in 2014, so he would presumably be the favorite. Wimbledon is July 3rd-16th, where Roger has won 7 times, with the last coming in 2012. It’s his favorite, so that should be compelling as always. Roger’s won 5 times at the U.S. Open which commences August 28th with the finals on September 10th. Novak was a 6 time winner at the Australian, but fell early. He seems to be struggling right now. Andy Murray is always a factor, and he’ll be in the mix big time this summer. There are other guys like Marin Cilic, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, American Jack Sock, Milos Raonic and Dominic Thiem who will be major factors at Paris, London and the Big Apple. So a lot of riveting tennis coming up.
Horse Racing
It was phenomenal when American Pharoah won the triple crown two years ago, in 2015. That hadn’t been done since 1978 when Affirmed followed Seattle Slew, which won it in 1977. It had been 37 years since a three year old thoroughbred had won the Triple Crown. Of course, the greatest of all time, Secretariat, did it in 1973, and set the standard as the greatest horse ever. That still stands today.
The 143rd Kentucky Derby in May, the 141st Preakness in late May, and the 149th Belmont Stakes in June are always historically electric events. Will have more on the key horses once we get closer to post time for the Derby.
Prediction this week
The WGC-Mexico Championship
Club de Golf Chapultepec, 7,330 yards, par 71. Just outside Mexico City
I’m going with the 37 year old from Borriol, Castellon, Spain to capture his 10th PGA title, and get closer and closer to a major. He’s another guy in the mix this year. He’s newly engaged and seems to have settled down pretty well. Going with El Nino.
There’s a good chance of a strong thunderstorm at 6 PM ET in Elmont, New York, so that would favor Exagerrator, which runs well on a muddy track. Exagerrator is now at 5-4, so it’s a pretty heavy favorite to capture it’s second triple crown race after winning the Preakness as well, which was also run on a muddy track.
But Exaggerator is more of a sprinter to me, and I’m going with the horse that I think can cover the longest of the three triple crown races at a mile and a half, which is 5/16 of a mile longer than the Preakness, or over a 1/4 mile longer.
Going with Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith, who is saddling this horse for the first time in the triple crown. Smith has already won two Belmonts in his career and I like him capture his third on this 7-1 odds horse. Like this physically impressive looking horse to charge to the finish with the best endurance and overtake Exaggerator to capture the 148th “Test of Champions.”
Suddenbreakingnews
Like Suddenbreakingnews to upset Exaggerator at the Belmont