The 150th running of the Kentucky Derby Predictions

The post time today for the 150th Run for the Roses is 5:57 PM CT and NBC will televise.

Fierceness is the favorite at 5/2. Todd Pletcher is the trainer and John Velazquez is the jockey.

Win, Place, Show

I’m going to take Catching Freedom the 8/1 odds thoroughbred. Brad Cox, the horse’s trainer, won the Kentucky Derby in 2021 with Mandaloun, and he also won the Belmont that year with Essential Quality. I think the 44 year old from Louisville is gets it done once again. Thirty-one year old Flavien Prat will be aboard Catching Freedom. Prat, from Melun, Seine-et-Marne, France, won the Derby in 2019 aboard Country House when Maximum Security, unofficially won, but was disqualified for interference after the race.

Prat also won the 2021 Preakness aboard Rombauer. Catching Freedom won the Louisiana Derby on March 23rd. Great closer. I like this horse to capture the 1 1/4 mile race. The weather now looks good for Triple Crown gem, so the track will be dry. A lot of pundits are picking Sierra Leone at 3/1. Its’ trainer is Chad Brown, a veteran, and the jockey is Tyler Gaffalione.

Winner: Catching Freedom (8/1)

Place: Sierra Leone (3/1)

Show: Fierceness (5/2)

8 Responses

  1. I like those picks and I would win the tri if it comes in that way DW. I like Honor Marie and Forever Young to possibly run in the show position. Good luck DW!

  2. I needed that primer. Much appreciated.
    Menu at The Club for today: Fried Chicken, Hot Baby Browns, Ham & Biscuits, Mac and Cheese.

  3. I am going Exacta Box
    Forever Young
    Dornoch
    Sierra Leone
    West Saratoga

    Tru Box
    Just a Touch
    Forever Young
    Catching Freedom
    Sierra Leone

  4. Wasn’t Mystic Dan a reference to the classic film The Sting?
    The early 1970’s film starring Robert Redford, Paul Newman, Robert Shaw and others. The mark was Robert Shaw "Lonnegan". He was to place the bet on Mystic Dan- he did so, but he placed a bet to win and not to place, as Sierra Leone. Well, you know the rest. Best Actor, Best film and 11 other academy awards. Mystic Dan finally made it to the winners’ circle by a photo finish whisker. Great theater!

  5. Classic all time movie, JB. Great memory on your part! Very good theater for sure. Never heard Catching Freedom’s name throughout the race until he made a little run at the end. He was pretty close to capturing the title. Great run by Mystic Dan.

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