The Crimson Tide, as expected, remains at No.1 in the Playoff Rankings with Notre Dame at No.2, Clemson at No. 3 and Ohio State at No. 4. A&M is still at No.5 and Florida is No.6. If Florida defeats LSU this Saturday, which will happen, and somehow pulled off a monumental upset of the Crimson Tide, then they’d make it in. Alabama would still be in, and if Clemson defeats Notre Dame in a competitive game, both Clemson and Notre Dame would make it in. So it would probably be No.1 Alabama, even with the loss, No.2 Florida, No.3 Clemson and No.4 Notre Dame. Ohio State has only played 5 games this season, but the Big Ten made an exception and is allowing them to play in the Big Ten Championship Game next Saturday versus No.14 Northwestern. If the Buckeyes defeat Northwestern, and Alabama defeats Florida, they’ll be in. If Clemson defeats Notre Dame, Notre Dame may fall to 4 and Clemson move up to 2 and Ohio State to 3 with Bama at No.1. Texas A&M would be left out, and honestly, they’re good, but I don’t see them as a top 4 team like the others. Florida at No.6, needs to take care of business Saturday and pull off an upset of No.1 Alabama and they’d make it in. That would make it very interesting. The Crimson Tide would still be in, but if Clemson defeats Notre Dame handily and Ohio State defeated Northwestern, I would gather that Notre Dame would be left out. If it’s a competitive game to the end and Clemson wins, Clemson, Florida, Alabama and Notre Dame would be in with Ohio State being left out. So a lot of interesting scenarios ahead of us. It can be a little overwhelming to try and figure it out, but teams will be able to control their own destiny at the end, for the most part.
Iowa State moved ahead of Cincy at No.7. Cincy is at No.8. Iowa State has OU next Saturday in the Big 12 Championship Game, so they most likely won’t get in the playoff unless some serious chaos happens ahead of them like Florida defeating Alabama, Northwestern defeating Ohio State and Notre Dame defeating Clemson. If they defeat Oklahoma for the second time this season and those dominoes fall, that would be a very interesting decision to see if the Committee would put Iowa State in ahead of A&M with Alabama, Notre Dame and Florida. So the Cyclones have a lot to play for. Some seriously interesting football coming up.
There are some solid matchups this Friday and Saturday. Here’s a look at the slate along with predictions.
Last Week: 20-6
Overall: 196-78, 72%.
No.1 Alabama (9-0) @ Arkansas (3-6)
Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville
11 AM CT
ESPN
Bob Wischusen, Dan Orlovsky, Kris Budden
Crimson Tide by 32 1/2
The Tide gets an early start on the road. I like them to play well and DeVonta Smith to keep building his resume in hopes of winning the Heisman Trophy. I don’t know why it’s not between Mac Jones and DeVonta with Kyle Trask right there too. DeVonta and Mac along with Trask will showcase their talents this Saturday and next Saturday in Atlanta. DeVonta, to me, is the most impactful player in football, and if he has another epic game Saturday and backs it up with an epic against Florida, he should secure the Heisman to become the third Nick Saban player to do so following Mark Ingram in 2009 and Derek Henry in 2015. Mac makes a good case, but I know he or DeVonta would be happy if the other one gets it. Can’t count out Trask either. DeVonta is the most important player to his team in college football. With Jaylen Waddle going down for the season on the opening kickoff against Tennessee, DeVonta HAD to step up and has he ever answered the bell. Needs 2 more good games, but he’ll most likely provide those. The Heisman finalists will be announced Christmas Eve, Thursday, 12-24 and the winner will be announced virtually Tuesday, January 5th, 2021.
S wants his team to become his second team to go undefeated in the regular season following the 2009 team that finished 14-0 and won S’s first national championship at Alabama, which was used to that with Bear Bryant in the 60’s and 70’s. S stressed going undefeated in the regular season this week, along with the fact that it’s an All-SEC schedule, so he’ll have his players ready. The defense has stepped it up hugely the past 3 or 4 games and the offense is just a well oiled scoring machine. I like the Crimson Tide to keep up their sterling work on Saturday.
Alabama 48, Arkansas 14
Auburn (5-4) @ Mississippi State (2-6)
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville
6:30 PM CT
SEC Network
Tom, JRodg, Cole
Auburn by 6 1/2
Malfunction Malzahn said 6-4 would be “a very solid season.” You gotte be kiddin me. I’m sure the Auburn faithful are thrilled with 6-4. If Malzahn loses to State, it could be curtains. If that happens, Auburn would have to play him a $31M buyout with, 1/2 of it, $15.5 M due in the first 30 days. Jimmy Sexton sure pulled a fast one on the Auburn Brain Trust. So it would be hard to dismiss him, though the results have been erratic ever since he’s been at Auburn except for 2013 when the Tigers went to the National Championship Game where they fell to Florida State. He’s been very average in my opinion and Auburn can do better. Jamey Chadwell from Coastal Carolina or Billy Napier of Louisiana would be good options if Auburn decides to absorb that massive blow to the checkbook, and with the revenues so far down in college football, Auburn may have to wait till 2021 and Chadwell and Napier may have other jobs. But there are some options with other coaches. It’s a place you maybe can win a National Championship at with the right guy in charge. If Gene Chizik can win it all, anything is possible with the right coach. The resources and fan support are certainly there. So it’ll be interesting to see what happens if State upsets the Tigers. I’m not predicting that, but it’ll be close.
Auburn 27, Mississippi State 24
Navy (3-6) @ Army (7-2)
Michie Stadium, West Point, N.Y.
2 PM CT
CBS
Brad, Gary, Jamie
Army by 7
Always a classic. If Army wins and defeats Air Force next Saturday they’ll capture the coveted Commander-In Chief ‘s Trophy that Army, Navy and Air Force battle for every year. This is the 121st meeting between the two military institutions with Navy holding a 61-52-7 lead in the series. This is the first time it’s been played at West Point since the 1940’s. I like Jeff Monken’s Cadets’ team to get the job done Saturday afternoon in one of the greatest rivalries in sports. it’ll be a hard fought game though as both teams ALWAYS bring their lunch pales. These 2 elite universities wouldn’t have it any other way.
Army 20, Navy 10
Ole Miss (4-4) @ No.5 Texas A&M (7-1) is postponed
I was sorry to read that as I was looking forward to seeing Kiff take on the Aggies’ defense and see what he could accomplish. But the game has been “postponed” not canceled meaning the SEC is holding out hope that they can still play it. Maybe somehow between Dec. 19th and New Year’s Day they can. A&M should still have a shot at the Playoff with some help. I like the fact that the SEC is trying to honor its goal to play 10 games. That’s a lot more than can be said of the ACC, which is giving Notre Dame and Clemson the week off so they can prepare for the ACC Championship Game. That’s not right. They shouldn’t be able to get away with that. The Committee should take note of that if Clemson blasts Notre Dame next Saturday, and keep the Irish out of the Playoff.
Michigan @No.4 Ohio State is canceled. Ohio State is certainly one of the top 5 or 6 teams in the country by the eye test, so the Committee will have some interesting decisions to make for their final unveiling of the top 4 on Sunday, December 20th.
LSU (3-5) @ No.6 Florida (8-1)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville
6 PM CT
ESPN
Sean, Todd, McShay
Florida by 23
The Gators have a ton to play for plus it’s a heated rival, so they’ll be amped up. Like Trask and the Gators to handle LSU pretty easily. Orgeron may be getting in some hot water after this season, even though he built some good will winning the National Championship last season. He won’t get fired this year, but next year will be an important one for his future on the Bayou. LSU is self imposing a bowl ban this year for NCAA violations involving former player Odell Beckham, who was handing out some big bills to players on the field after the National Championship Game. Even worse, a booster was giving major benefits to players and staff. So LSU is dysfunctional right now. Oregeron could be in some trouble in the near future.
Florida 45, LSU 17
No.9 Georgia 31, No.25 Missouri 21
Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO.
11 AM CT
SEC Network
Dave, DJ, Lauren Sisler
Dawgs by 13
Georgia survives a pretty strong Mizzou effort. The Committee is still pretty high on the Dawgs as far as playing in a New Year’s Six Bowl, and JT Daniels has given them hope on offense with his play under center.
Tennessee 38, Vanderbilt 14
Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville
3 PM CT
SEC Network
Taylor Zarzour, Stinch, Dawn Davenport
Vols by 15
Vanderbilt is trying to get a new head coach, but the program is in disarray right now. Don’t get me started. To new Chancellor Daniel Diermeier’s credit, he’s trying to upgrade the entire football program with a solid new coach and a major upgrade of facilities. Hope he can pull it off.
No.11 Oklahoma vs West Virginia has been canceled due to COVID positives in West VA program.
Sooners face Iowa State in the Big 12 Championship Game at Arlington, Texas on ABC at 11 AM CT, next Saturday, December 19th.
No. 15 USC 35, UCLA 31
Rose Bowl, L.A.
6:30 PM CT
ABC
Dave, Gregory, Allison
SC by 2 1/2
This may be the best game of the day on Saturday. The Men of Troy are playing very well and so are the Bruins. So it’ll be electric in the Rose Bowl.
Virginia 28, VA Tech 27
Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA.
7 PM CT
ACC Network
Hokies by 2 1/2
Give me the ‘Hoos in a slight upset.
No. 10 Miami 49, No.17 North Carolina 42
Hard Rock Stadium, South Beach
2:30 PM CT
ABC
Chris, Kirk, Maria
Canes by 3
Like the great Miami quarterback D’Eriq King and his team to prevail at home. King is phenomenal.
No. 13 Coastal Carolina 35, Troy 20
Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy
2 PM CT
ESPN+
Coastal by 13 1/2
Can’t knock this Coastal team, they’re a phenom. The Chants move to 11-0 on the season and hope that Tulsa can knock off Cincy in next Saturday’s American Conference Championship Game so they would qualify as the Group of Five team for a New Year’s Six Bowl, which would be a tremendous accomplishment. Chadwell may be the hottest name in coaching right now. They defeated BYU at home last Saturday in a game that was arranged 2 days before. In fairness to BYU, they were the ones who had to travel, but you gotta give Jamey Chadwell and his team a lot of credit.
No.21 Colorado 24, Utah 21
Folsom Field, Boulder
11 AM CT
FOX
Buffs by 2
I’m bullish on this Colorado team. They take care of business at home and move to 5-0 on the season. They would need USC to lose to UCLA to make the PAC-12 Championship Game against the winner of Washington-Oregon Saturday. But regardless, they’ve been a real success story this season under first year coach Karl Dorrell.
Oregon vs Washington was canceled due to COVID positives on Washington’s team.
Washington is now the North representative for the PAC-12 Championship game, which is unfair to Oregon because if they had defeated Washington at home , they would have represented the North. Washington is kind of up in the air with its’ COVID cases on if it will be able to field a team for Championship game.
Another scenario that is being bantered about is if undefeated Colorado defeats Utah and undefeated USC defeats UCLA, those 2 teams would play in the Championship Game, which would be a much better solution. If Colorado and USC win this Saturday, USC would win the tiebreaker because they have a better record against PAC-12 South opponents. I would love to see SC and Colorado play for all the marbles. They look like the best teams in the conference. Excellent slate tomorrow in the PAC-12 and nationally even with the cancellations and postponements.
Friday
Zona State 28, Zona 21
6 PM CT
ESPN
Zona State by 11 1/2
A fun Friday Night in the Desert. Zona keeps it close at home, but Zona State hangs on.
San Jose State 35, Nevada 31
9 PM CT
CBS Sports Network
San Jose State by 2 1/2
The Spartans are 5-0 and the Wolfpack are 6-1. I like the Spartans to survive in Vegas in what will be kind of a classic.
Saturday again
No. 14 Northwestern 28, Illinois 13
Ryan Field, Evanston, IL.
11 AM CT
ESPN2
Wildcats by 14 1/2
I like the Wildcats to keep their solid season going and gear up for the Big Ten Championship Game versus Ohio State. The Wildcats finish the regular season at 6-1.
No. 16 Iowa 17, Wisconsin 14
2:30 PM CT
Fox Sports 1
Whisky by 1
I have no idea why the Badgers are favored in Iowa City. Give me the Hawkeyes in a lower scoring contest.
No. 18 BYU 38, San Diego State 21
9 PM CT
ESPN2
BYU by 16
BYU lets out their frustration at home in Provo.
TCU 45, Lousiana Tech 21
6 PM CT
Fox Sports 1
Frogs by 21 1/2
I like the Horned Frogs to handle business at home after their stellar upset of Oklahoma State last Saturday afternoon in Fort Worth.
Oregon State 31, Stanford 30
9:30 PM CT
ESPNU
Cardinal by 3
Like Oregon State to pull off a slight upset at home.
California 24, Washington State 14
9:30 PM CT
Fox Sports 1
Cal by 2 1/2
After their stellar home upset of previously ranked Oregon, the Golden Bears go on the road and play well again.
Rice 31, UAB 28
Rice Stadium, Houston
12 PM CT
ESPN3
UAB by 7
I’m a believer in this Rice team after they went on the road last week and defeated a 7-0 and 20th ranked Marshall team, 20-0. That resonates with me. I trust’em.
No. 20 Texas vs Kansas has been canceled due to COVID positives in the Texas program.
I don’t know if Tom Herman has done enough to keep his job for another year, but a bowl victory may buy him another year in Austin as he tries to get his Longhorns team over the top and playing for and winning the Big 12 Championship, which is what they expect in Austin though they make it hard on coaches with their many times unreasonable expectations.
Penn State 34, Michigan State 17
Beaver Stadium, Happy Valley, PA.
11 AM CT
ABC
Penn State by 14
James Franklin and his Nittany Lions have had a tough season with some opt outs and season ending injuries, but they defeated Michigan and Rutgers the last 2 weeks, and I like them to finish strong against the Spartans and gather some momentum for 2021. They’ll probably play in a bowl too.
Houston 35, Memphis 28
Liberty Bowl, River City
2:30 PM CT
ESPN2
Cougars by 5
Like Dana Holgerson and his Cougars team to finish their season 4-3 and go to a solid bowl game. Believe Holgerson will do some good things in the Rocket City