AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Texas A&M (7-5) vs. West Virginia (7-5)
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis (61,008)
2 PM ET/1 PM CT
ESPN
Clay Matvick, Anthony Becht, Dawn Davenport
Coaches:
A&M: Kevin Warren Sumlin: 50 years old, three years at A&M, 27-11, overall: seven years 62-28 (69%), 3-1 bowls. @ Houston from 2008-11.
West Virginia: Dana Carl Holgerson, 43 years old, four years at WVU and as a head coach, 28-22 (56%), 1-1 in bowls.
Refs: ACC, Walter Davenport
Weather: 44 degrees @ kickoff, mostly cloudy, 0% rain (throughout game), Wind, NNE @ 7 MPH.
Line: WVU by 3
Breakdown
West Virginia
The Mountaineers lost quarterback Clint Trickett for the season and for his career after Trickett sustained multiple concussions. Trickett had a fine year for the Mountaineers completing 67% of his passing attempts (281-of-419) with 18 TDs and 10 ints. In his place will be junior college transfer Skyler Howard, who completed 36-of-65 passes (55%) for 483 yards, five TDs and 0 ints. Howard tossed three TDs in the season finale against Iowa State, a 37-24 victory which ended a three-game losing streak for WVU. The Mountaineers key player on offense is wide out Kevin White. The 6’3″, 210 standout caught 102 passes for 1,318 yards and 9 sevens this season. He is a superstar and will be shining on Sundays in the future. Mario Alford (5’9″, 177) is another explosive wide out for WVU. Alford caught 62 passes for 888 yards and 10 TDs this season. Running back Rushel Shell (5″10″, 215) ran for 766 yards and seven scores this season. A&M struggles against the run, so this could be a factor. On the other side of the ball, linebacker Nick Kwiatkoski (6’2″, 236) leads the team with 96 tackles and 10.5 tackles for loss of -20. Defensive end Shaq Riddick (6’6″, 242) adds 10.5 tackles for loss and seven sacks. Cornerback Daryl Worley leads the defense in interceptions with three.
A&M
Sumlin made a quarterback change in game nine and replaced Kenny Hill with freshman Kyle Allen. Allen finished the season completing 96-of-157 (61%) for 1,028 yards with 12 TDs and six ints. Allen had his best performance at Auburn on November 8th completing 19-of29 passes for 277 yards with four TDs and one int in a 41-38 victory over then No.3 Auburn. He was the number one quarterback in the country coming out of high school and has shown flashes of excellence, so the future could be very bright for the Aggies with Allen at quarterback. Allen’s key targets are Ricky Seals-Jones (48-444, 4 TDs) and Josh Reynolds (47-726, 12 TDs). Malcolme Kennedy (46-529, 4) and Speedy Noil (44-559, 5 TDs) are also excellent receiving options. Kennedy is probably the most reliable target of all four guys. A&M really didn’t get a stellar running game ever going this season. Trey Williams rushed for 474 yards and six TDs. Tra Carson added 448 and five TDs. Both are capable of having good games today against a suspect Mountaineer defense. While the A&M defense wasn’t prolific this year, freshman defensive end Myles Garrett (6’5″, 255) was. Garrett finished with 12.5 tackles for loss of 67 yards and 11 sacks for -64 yards. He’s a stud. Safety Howard Matthews led the team in tackles with 82. Freshman free safety Armani Watts led the team in interceptions with three. While Snyder took the blame for the defensive deficiencies this season, it was a pretty young group. Sumlin has recruited well and the defense should be a lot better next year with talent and experience. The bowl game would be a good springboard for the group.
Verdict:
This should be an outstanding game with a lot of offense. Maybe it’s just the way I’m wired and programmed, but I like the SEC to get it done in this one, but in an excellent football game. Kevin Sumlin and A&M come away with the victory and start preparing for the 2015 season with clear eyes and full hearts.
A&M 38, West Virginia 35
Russell Athletic Bowl
Clemson (9-3) vs. Oklahoma (8-4)
Florida Citrus Bowl Stadium, Orlando (70,000)
5:30 PM ET/4:30 PM CT
ESPN
Mike Patrick, Ed Cunningham, Jeannine Edwards
Coaches:
Clemson: William Christopher “Dabo” Swinney, 45 years old, seven years as head coach all at Clemson, 60-26 (70%) overall, 3-3 in bowls.
Oklahoma: Robert Anthony “Bob” Stoops, 54 years old, 16 years as head coach all at OU, 168-42 (80%), 8-7 in bowls.
Refs: SEC, Matt Moore, lead whistle
Weather: 78 @ kickoff, partly cloudy, 0 % rain (throughout game), wind SW 8 MPH.
Line: OU by 5
Breakdown
Clemson:
Clemson is more about defense this season. The Tigers have the number one total defense in the country allowing only 259.6 yards per game. They are number six in the country in scoring defense at 17.6 ppg. OU is no. 52 in total defense at 382.3 and 43 in scoring defense at 24.8 points allowed. Senior defensive end Vic Beasley is the catalyst on defense. Beasley has 18.5 tackles for loss of 104 yards and 11 sacks for -87. He’s an all- worlder. Middle linebacker Stephone Anthony leads the defense in tackles with 73 and adds 9.5 tackles for loss of -50 yards. Clemson only has nine interceptions, but have forced nine fumbles this season and recovered 10. On offense, the Tigers will turn back to senior Cole Stoudt as freshman Deshaun Watson was lost for the season against South Carolina with a torn ACL in his knee. Stoudt played in 12 games, completed 165-of-266 passes (62%) for 1,573 yards, six TDs and 10 ints. He’ll have to play better than that today in order for the Tigers to come out on top. He can’t be throwing multiple interceptions or it could be a long day for him and his team. Clemson’s leading rusher is Wayne Gallman who ran for 714 yards and four TDs this season. C.J. Davidson added 245 and three TDs. The running game needs to be good to take the pressure off of Stoudt. Stoudt is a pretty good runner too. The leading receiver for Clemson is Artavis Scott who caught 68 passes for 851 yards and seven TDs this season. Mike Williams pulled in 48 for 918 and 5 sevens. Defensive coordinator Brent Venables knows OU having been defensive coordinator there from 1999-2011 before coming over to Clemson in 2011. He’s got the defense playing very well.
OU:
Quarterback Trevor Knight is back after being hurt this season some, and that’s a big lift to the Sooners’ offense. In nine games, Knight completed 162-of-279 passes (58%) for 2,197 yards, 14 TDs and nine ints. He’s a threat to make a mistake, but he can also make a lot of explosive plays with his arm and also make plays with his feet. Samaje Perine, a freshman, burst onto the scene this season. Perine, a horse at 5” 11″, 243, rushed for 1,579 yards this season and 21 TDs. He ran for 791 yards in his final three games of the season and included in that was a 427 yard performance against Kansas, which broke the FBS single game rushing record which was set the week before by Wisconsin’s Melvin Gordon, who ran for 408 against Nebraska. Perine will be a major test to the Clemson run defense, which is fifth in the country allowing just 97.7 yards per game on the ground. OU has an excellent receiving corps as well led by junior Sterling Shepard, who has hauled in 50 catches for 957 yards and five TDs. He is a game changer along with Perine. Durron Neal has added 40 receptions for 508 and three scores. On defense, the Sooners are led by linebacker Dominique Alexander (6’0″, 227) who has registered 98 tackles, six for loss of 22 and a sack and a half. Linebacker Eric (Airplane) Striker leads the team with 14 tackles for loss of 64 yards and 7.5 sacks. Cornerback Zack Sanchez has six interceptions on the season.
Verdict:
I like this Clemson defense. OU has a better offense for sure, but I like the defense wins games/championships theory. Dabo, Venables and the Clemson defense allow the Tigers to come away with the victory in a steppingstone to 2015.
Clemson 28, Oklahoma 24
Advocare V100 Texas Bowl
Arkansas (6-6) vs. Texas (6-6)
NRG Stadium, Houston (71,500)
9 PM ET/8 PM CT
ESPN
Dave Pasch, Brian Griese, Tom Luginbill
Coaches:
Arkansas:
Bret Arnold Bielema, 44 years old, nine years head coach, 77-39. seven years at Wisconsin (2006-12), second year at Arkansas, 9-15 at Arkansas, 2-4 bowls
Texas:
Charles Rene “Charlie” Strong, 54 years old, five years as a head coach, 43-22 overall. Four years at Louisville (2010-13), and first year at Texas (6-6). 3-2 in bowls.
Refs: ACC, Ron Cherry
Weather; retractable roof, but 52 degrees at kickoff 0 % rain, wind E at 3 MPH
Line: Hogs by 7
Analysis:
Texas:
Charlie Strong will do an excellent job at Texas and put the Longhorns back on the national map sooner rather than later. He will have to recruit hard though as he is squaring off in his state vs. Kevin Sumlin, an excellent recruiter, Baylor’s Art Briles and TCU’s Gary Patterson, who are both hotter than a July day in El Paso with their teams right now. So he definitely has his work cut out for him. But he has Texas playing well on defense and it will only get better under him. Senior linebacker Jordan Hicks has posted 138 tackles on the season, and 13 for loss of 36 yards to go along with 3.5 sacks. Middle linebacker Steve Edmond added 122 tackles a, 12 for loss of 30 yards and 4.5 sacks for a loss of 19. Quarterback Tyrone Swoopes completed 59% of his passes (211-of-359) for 2,352 yards, 13 TDs and 10 ints. The leading rushers for Texas are Malcolm Brown (683 yards and six TDs) and Johathan Gray (628 yards, seven TDs). John Harris led the wide receiving corps with 64 catches for 1,015 yards and seven TDs. Texas played some good football this season.
Arkansas:
The Hogs can really tote the rock. Jonathan Williams ran for 1,085 yards and 11 TDs this season and Alex Collins added 1,024 yards and 12 sevens. And they have a line that averages 328.4 pounds across the front, the biggest in college football AND the NFL. Wow. Brandon Allen is a pretty solid quarterback. He completed 178-0f-316 passes (56%) for 2,125 yards and 18 TDs against five ints. His favorite target is Keon Hatcher, an outstanding receiver/playmaker, who caught 39 passes for 517 yards and five TDs. They use their tight ends well. Hunter Henry is excellent (36-495, 2 TDs) as is A.J. Derby (22-303, 3 TDs). Those guys are weapons.On defense, Martrell Spaight leads the team with 123 tacklesm with 8.5 for loss of 23 yards. Defensive end Trey Flowers leads the defense with 13.5 tackles for loss of 75 yards and five sacks for -52 yards. Cornerbacks Tevin Mitchell and Henre’ Toliver lead the team with two ints apiece.
Verdict:
Strong is an excellent coach, and I’d give him a coaching edge over Bielema. Bielema takes some kind of goofy chances. Sometimes his trick plays work out, some times they don’t. But in this one, Arkansas is just too good running the ball and they can pass it pretty well with Allen and Hatcher. The o line and playmakers will get the job done for the Hogs tonight as the Hogs gear up for an even better 2015 and send their seniors out on a high note.
Arkansas 31, Texas 23
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