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May 12, 2011

Vandy 2011

It’s all about the quarterback and the offensive line for the ‘Dores. Larry Smith only completed 47 percent of his passes last year with six touchdowns and five ints. The question is, can the senior get it done his last season? He’s shown a propensity to get nervous in the pocket and make bad decisions. His olines have not been that good in the past and not sure how good they’ll be this year. Have nine on the roster and four coming in. There are actually some pretty good players on the line though just not a lot of  depth. Wesley Johnson (6’5″, 285) will be a stellar player at tackle. Logan Stewart (6’4″, 290) should be a pretty good center. Caleb Welchans (6’5″, 3oo tackle) and Jabo Burrow (6’4″, 290) should be good players as well. Ryan Seymour (6’4″, 305) is another. Mylon Brown (6’4″, 310) should be a good player as should Andrew Bridges (6’6″, 265) though he needs to gain some weight. Offensive guard/tackle Kyle Fischer  (6’6″ 310), a senior, could be in the NFL in 2012. He’s an impact player. If Smith gets some protection, he can be pretty good. In the spring game he made some nice throws and the offense looked more suited to his strengths, which is throwing the quick passes to the receivers and throwing the deep ball some.
He has some good receivers this year. Jordan Matthews is a 6’3″ target who caught 15 passes and four tds as a frosh. He could have a breakout year. Jonathan Krause is another guy who could really shine this year. He’s a speedster and caught 24 passes for 243 last year and ran it six times for 121 yards and two tds on reverses. Chris Boyd, Brady Brown and veterans Udom Umoh and John Cole should supply some punch on the outside as well.

There are some good running backs in Warren Norman (5’10”, 200)  and Zac Stacy (5’9″,210). Both guys can break it and are pretty tough if they can get some holes. Norman was hurt in the spring but will be back in the fall. Again it’s about the offensive line. Can they perform. Wesley Tate is a little bigger back at 6’3″, 225 and he gives the running game a power dimension with some speed, too. They need a couple more to step up with the way backs get injuried in the SEC. There are a couple of frosh coming in whom they’re high on so maybe they can add some depth.

Tight end is pretty solid with senior Brandon Barden back. He caught 34 passes for 425 yards and three tds last year and had a good year the year before. Has some pretty solid depth and two heralded freshmen coming in.

The offense has not been good for a while now, so the coaching staff really needs to figure out a way to move the ball and score on offense. They need to be pretty creative, but I think James Franklin, the first year coach, and his staff are. His offensive line coach, Herb Hand, is excellent.

Defense looked sharp in the spring game. New defensive coordinator Bob Shoop has brought a toughness to this defense. They were hitting harder, going after the ball and making plays on defense.

The secondary should be high caliber. Casey Hayward (6’0″, 185) is coming back for his senior year at cornerback after intercepting six passes last year. He’s one of the top corners in the conference. He looks like he’ll be on an NFL roster in 2012. At the other corner, Trey Wilson (6’0″,190) looks like he’ll still be fighting for the job with Eddie Foster (5’10”, 175) come August. Andre Hal (6’0″, 185 though I think he’s bigger now) and Kenny Ladler (6’1″, 205) look like excellent players at safety. Incumbent Sean Richardson (6’2″, 215) might have his work cut out for him to make the starting lineup. Those two can really play.

The Dline is 10 deep according to Shoop. Colt Nichter (6’2″, 290 dt) had an excellent spring. T.J. Greenstone (6’3″, 285) should be a beast as should redshirt freshman Kyle Woestmann at defensive end. Walker May  (6’5″, 235) and Tim Fugger (6’4″, 255)  should be good bookends on pass rushing situations. And there is good depth there.

Linebacker has some good players but is very thin. All-SEC performer Chris Marve (6’0″, 235) is back. He plays the run very well, but needs to work on his coverage skills. Guys like DeAndre Jones and Tristan Strong look promising as does Chase Garnham. Archibald Barnes looks OK. They need to stay healthy for sure.

Punting and kicking game fine with Richard Kent a pretty good punter and either Ryan Fowler or Carey Spear handling place kicking duties. Spear looks ahead there. Return game on kickoffs should be excellent with guys like Norman, Stacey, Eric Samuels and Wilson returning kicks. Need to get better in their punt return game though.

James Franklin has come in with a lot of energy and passion and has his team jacked up. It’s kind of a rebuilding job and there will be depth issues this year and Larry Smith is a question mark, but there are some good players on the roster. Jordan Rodgers, Aaron Rodgers’ little brother, is trying to compete for the job but he’s been hurt, so Smith is pretty far ahead of him. It’s probably Smith’s job to lose, but Rodgers is a talent. There are some freshmen qbs coming in, two who have good reputations and were high quality recruits. Don’t think they’ll start, but if Smith falters and Rodgers can’t get the job done, these guys could be in the mix.

The Schedule:

It’s a meat grinder, as my friend coach Chris Yeager of Mountain Brook, says. Elon, UConn and Ole Miss at home; potentially three wins, but no guarantee by any means. Vandy loses games some times there supposed to win and they won’t be favored against Ole Miss, but they’ve beaten Ole Miss three times over the last five years, so it should be a highly competitive game. UConn could be tough, too. They blasted the doors last year at Stoors. Don’t know much about Elon. At South Carolina (played SC tough the last four years and beaten them twice) and at Alabama (loss there). Georgia at home, Army at home, Arkansas at home. At Florida, home against Kentucky, at UT and at Wake.

Five wins would be a successful season and six victories and a bowl game would be outstanding. Got some games at home that they can win, but it’s just a tough league to play in for a school that has such high academic standards. But there are some good players and the new coaching staff has put a new life in these players. They’ve just got to believe they can win.

Next: Tennessee

(James Franklin is trying to change the culture at Vanderbilt.)

The Players: 11 guys I like

This is the toughest sport to predict and this tournament is even tougher. It’ll come down to the last three holes for sure. It starts with the par five, 507 yard 16th, which can be reached in two and eagled. Then the famed Island hole, the par-3 17th, which can make or break you; a lot of times break you. It’s 137 yards and can be a nine iron or a pitching wedge most of the time depending on the wind. If the wind is up, it’s your best guesstimate as to whether to use an 8-iron or a nine iron or wedge. An 8-iron long will put you in the water behind the green, a nine-iron or wedge short and you’re in the water in front of the green. It’s treacherous. Tiger Woods made an epic deuce on the hole when he won in 2001 with a 55 foot putt for birdie. Paul Goydos got in a playoff with Sergio Garcia in 2008 and lost it on the 17th hitting his ball in the water.
The par-four 447 yard 18th will test your clutch gene. Can you keep it out of the water on the left side and out of the trees on the right? The second shot is a test of mettle as well. Can you get yourself in birdie or par position to win the championship? This should be classic theater. Here are 12 guys I think who can win, and yes, I’ll go ahead and pick a winner at the end. Hardest prediction in sports; who will win golf major.

1. Matt Kuchar: Just an excellent player. Won the Barclay’s in the Fed Ex Playoffs last year and has been in the hunt this year. He has six top 10 finishes this year. His best finish is third at the Accenture Match Play. He may be the most consistent player on the tour since the middle of last year. Hits it long, solid iron game and nice putter. He’s in there.

2.Justin Rose: Three top 10’s in 2011. He tied for third at Bay Hill and fifth at the Transitions in Florida. Seems to be close a lot, and has won on the tour. I don’t think he’ll win, but he could be in the hunt at the end.

3.Bubba Watson: Playing incredible golf right now, leading the Fed Ex Standings. He won the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines and at New Orleans at the Zurich Open two weeks ago. Averages 313 off the tee, one of the longest guys in the game today. Has the overall game to get it done.

4.Luke Donald: Seven events, six top 10’s. Won the Accenture Match Play, tied for fourth in the Masters after playing some beautiful golf on the final round and was second in the Heritage at Hilton Head, losing in a playoff to Brandt Snedeker. He’s definitely got the game to get it done this week.

5.Nick Watney: Nine tournaments entered, eight cuts made. Won the World Golf Championships at Doral and that always says something if you’ve won in Florida already. He’s long and has the entire package.

6. Adam Scott: Seven tournaments entered, five cuts made. Second in the Masters, sixth at Doral. Won here in 2004. If he’s putting well, he could win it.

7.Phil Mickelson: Won here in 2007. Still playing at a very high level. Won at Houston this year. Averaging 298 off the tee. Another guy who if he has his putter going, could win it.

8.Brandt Snedeker: Sneds was outstanding at the Heritage three weeks ago showing incredible mettle when Luke Donald sank his birdie putt on the first playoff hole and Sneds came right back and sank his nine footer for birdie. Driving the ball very well. Incredible putter. Five top 10’s this year. Leads the tour in strokes gained on the green. He’s got a good shot to make some noise come Sunday.

9. J.B. Holmes: Hits it 316; longest guy on tour. He tied for ninth at the Wells Fargo last week and has two fifth place finishes at the Waste Management and the Match Play. Can light it up. Very good player.

10. Lucas Glover: Won last week at Wells Fargo. Has great length and won the U.S. Open in 2009. Knows how to win a Major. Is a factor.

11. Brendan Steele: Won Texas Valero Open. Beautiful driver of the ball. Excellent putter. I interviewed Brendan in 2009 and watched him play. Great guy, great player. Has a shot.

The winner:

My best educated guess: Matt Kuchar.

(Brandt Snedeker, left, or Matt Kuchar could get it done this week at The Players.)

Gene Hallman, Bruno Event Team President and CEO

Gene Hallman knows how to make events excel. He’s done it in Birmingham for many years and his latest masterpiece, the Regions Tradition, may have been his best work ever though that’s a hard call. The venue was sensational. Shoal Creek was immaculate and a true test of golf for the Champions Tour competitors. A great field participated with the highly admired Tom Lehman winning in a playoff over Australian Peter Senior. Hallman handled all the leg work for the event; the advertising, the operational plans, the sponsorship selling and recruiting the volunteers. It was a job well done by Hallman, Mike Thompson and Shoal Creek head professional Eric Williamson and his staff, all of whom made this tournament a resounding success. I caught up with Hallman a couple of days ago and got his comments on the tourney.
DW: What are your thoughts on how the tournament went?

GH: “It was outstanding. It exceeded my expectations. The operation was flawless. The golf course was the real show. Several players told me it was the finest golf course they ever played. To hear the players say that, frankly, was a pleasant surprise.”

DW: How many people attended?

GH: “The tour decided not to release the crowd numbers but we had very strong crowds. Of course we were impacted by the devastating tornadoes from the week before. All in all they were great crowds and our champion, Tom Lehman, is one of the finest people I’ve ever met.”

DW: How do you think the golf course held up as a test for these players?

GH: “We were concerned about the players going low coming in, but that was Mother Nature as far as the rough not being up and we couldn’t control that. Only 25 percent of the players shot under par. The vast majority of them were over par and that’s what you want in a major championship. There was not anything we could do about the rough, but some places there was some rough. I thought the greens were fantastic. Bent grass last year  throughout the Southeast and up the East Coast faced a real challenge because the surfaces were hurt by the weather. I thought Jim Simmons (Shoal Creek course Superintendent) did a miraculous job with the entire course. And it showed up on the Golf Channel.”

DW: Did you like the Golf Channel’s coverage of the tournament?

GH: “Very much so. In the past, for the Regions Charity Classic, it has been tape delayed for a lot of different reasons. It takes the edge off watching it. This year it was live and that made it very special.”

DW: Condi Rice was your ceremonial chairwoman along with co-chairman Mike Thompson. Was that exciting?

GH: “I admired her more than anything because she absolutely crushed her first shot right down the middle of the fairway. With all that pressure, it was impressive.”

DW: Tom Lehman must be a pretty special guy.
GH: “I do not know this for a fact, but I have a feeling he stroked a check for the tornado relief effort. To tell you the type of person he is, he went to Pratt City last week without any media or an entourage and met with the church groups and supported the people there. He’s a very special person.”

DW: Did you think the crowds handled themselves well?

GH: “I thought the crowds were very knowledgeable and very respectful of the players. They were great golf crowds.”

DW: What’s next for Shoal Creek?

GH: “Events like the U.S. Open are scheduled out to 2019 and have secured partners for seven to eight years. Shoal Creek is focused on the here and now. It’s too early to tell what will happen, but we’re excited to have the Regions Tradition for the next two years. It’s the counterpart to the Masters. You have the U.S. Senior Open, the Senior PGA, the Senior British and this is considered the Senior Masters. You can’t call it that because the Masters has the trademark, but that’s what it is. The caddies wear white coveralls and we have a ceremonial first tee shot.”

The seniors compared Shoal Creek to Augusta. Even commentators on the Golf Channel were calling it Augusta-like. It was a first class venue.

DW: What’s next for you, Gene?

GH: “The SEC Baseball Tournament. We’ve been non stop with it since ’98 (at Regions Park in Hoover, this year May 25-29, tickets 205-978-2822). These  (eight) teams have already made the NCAA Tournament, so the event is a celebration of the finest conference in college baseball.”

DW: Do you think Birmingham can keep the SEC tourney?

GW: “I do. We have a good dialogue with the SEC. We are in a heated competition with mainly Memphis, but we have a great shot of keeping it. We are getting to the home stretch and  we can’t take anything for granted.”

The contract with Hoover runs out after this year, so Hallman and company are trying to secure the tournament for the next several years.

DW: How do you think Shoal Creek held up over the weekend?
GH: “It was fantastic. It was a quality, quality test of golf.”

To find out more of what is going on for Hallman and the Bruno Event team go to www.brunoeventteam.com

(Gene Hallman does it again with another masterful job this time at Shoal Creek.)

 

 

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