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October 25, 2016

NBA Finals Prediction

With the NBA regular season tipping off tonight, I’m going to go against the grain and pick against the consensus pick this year to win the title.

The Warriors with Kevin Durant and Steph Curry are just too good to be true for me. People are predicting they could break their 2015-16 NBA record 73 victories this season. Too much hype. I’m already tired of the Warriors.

So I’m going to take the tried and true franchise with a starting five of Tony Parker, Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard and Pau Gasol and a bench featuring Manu Ginobili, Patty Mills and David Lee among others. It’s a super shooting, rebounding and defensive team with a superb coach in Greg Popovich. That’s a heckuva group.I like the Spurs to win their sixth NBA championship in 18 years. Their first was 1999. No Tim Duncan. The great BIg Fundamental retired with 5 championships, but this franchise keeps on cookin.

East Finals

Cavs over the Celtics in 6

West Finals

Spurs over Warriors in 7

Finals

Spurs over Cavs in 7 

MVP of the League; Kawhi Leonard

Tony Parker and the Spurs capture NBA title number 6 in June

Tony Parker and the Spurs capture NBA title number 6 in June

The Fall Classic, Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago Cubs

Andrew Miller (above) and the stellar Indians bullpen will try to counter Jon Lester and the superb Cubs starting rotation

Andrew Miller (above) and the stellar Indians bullpen will try to counter Jon Lester and the superb Cubs starting rotation

FOX will telecast. Joe Buck, Smoltzie in the booth. Tom Verducci, Ken Rosenthal reporting from the field.

First game, tonight, 7:08 PM CT/8:08 PM ET first pitch.

In Cleveland at Progressive Field. Seats 35, 255, but should be a standing room only tonight with 40,000+ there. First two games in Cleveland, next three in Chicago, and final two, if necessary, back in Cleveland.

The droughts: Cleveland hasn’t won the World Series since 1948, 68 years. The Cubs haven’t won a World Series in 108 years, 1908.

Starting pitchers tonight: Jon Lester (Cubs) vs. Cory Kluber

Game 2 starters, tomorrow night: Jake Arrieta (Cubs) vs. Trevor Bauer

Game 3, Friday, 7:07 PM CT/8:07 PM ET: Josh Tomlin (Indians) vs. Kyle Hendricks

Game 4 Saturday, 7:07 PM CT/8:07 PM ET, Cleveland, undecided vs. John Lackey

Game 5 Sunday, 7:15  PM CT/8:15 PM ET: pitchers undecided

Game 6 Tuesday, Nov.1,  7:07 PM CT, pitchers To be determined

Game 7, Wednesday, Nov. 2, 7:07 PM CT, pitchers TBD

Analysis/Prediction

The Cubs have the edge in hitting and probably starting pitching though I like Cleveland’s starters as well. Andrew Miller is the key guy to me for the Indians out of the pen. In the postseason, Miller has thrown 11 2/3 innings in middle relief and allowed no runs with 21 K’s. You add stellar closer Cody Allen, who has thrown 7 2/3 innings of scoreless ball with 12 strikeouts and that’s quite a potent combination that can win you a championship. They’ll need some help of course from the starters and the rest of the bullpen, but these two can carry their team. Cleveland is a base stealing team, too. I like that. The long ball will be big, too, and the Cubs can really do that. But I give the edge to Cleveland in the bullpen, the starters to the Cubs. defense and hitting are pretty much a wash. But since the wild card era commenced in  1994, the team with the home field advantage has won the World Series 71% of the time. I like those numbers. The Indians got the home field by virtue of the American League winning the All-Star game 4-2 over the National League. I believe in that league that wins the All-Star game and has home field advantage. I also love what Miller can do and Allen on the backend. The Royals won the world series last year with speed, timely hitting and a superb bullpen. I like the Indians to do the same in 2016.

Indians in 7

MVP: Andrew Miller

What I learned about Auburn, Alabama, LSU in College football week 8

Kam Pettway is exploding in 2016

Kam Pettway is exploding in 2016

Auburn

  1. Auburn is a really good football team. The defense has been stellar all season. The front wall led by defensive end Carl Lawson, defensive end Marlon Davidson, defensive tackle Montravius Adams, defensive tackle Davaroe Lawrence  and others is superb. They dominate. They are physical, disruptive playmakers. They’re awesome. The back end led by safeties Johnathan “Rudy” Ford, Tray Matthews and corner Carlton Davis is also exceptional. Linebacker Tre Williams is living up to his high four star ranking coming out of high school in Mobile. This is a championship defense. Auburn may have lost two games early, but they are looking highly formidable now.
  2. The offense has hit its stride. When Kerryon Johnson went down three weeks ago with an ankle sprain, Kamryn Pettway stepped right in. He barreled over Mississippi State for 169 yards on 39 carries and three TDs in a 38-14 AU shellacking of the Bulldogs in Starkville, and, this past Saturday, Kam ran for 192 yards on 27 carries with two TDs. Wow. Kerryon should be back soon, maybe this Saturday @ Ole Miss, a 6:15 PM CT kickoff on the SEC Network, and with that and what other guys like Eli Stove, Kam Martin and Stanton Truitt did Saturday against Arkansas, this group is extraordinary. Stove ran for 94 yards on three carries. Stove may be a wide receiver, but these reverses are highly effective, he’s looking like a Quan Bray, Onterio McCalebb type player, so I see him getting more of those chances. Martin ran for 80 yards on 7 carries, Truitt ran for 78 yards and 8 carries and quarterback Sean White ran for 61 yards on 4 carries.
  3. Rhett Lashlee has been a difference maker calling plays for Gus. It’s been huge. Rhett has gotten the offense clicking. He’s doing super. 
  4. Kevin Steele can really coach the defense. He’s had a resurgence at Auburn and the players have bought in to what he’s telling them. He’s been superb.
  5. Sean White is a winning quarterback. He won’t make mistakes and he’ll become more of a playmaker as the year progresses. 
  6. Auburn is 3-1 in the SEC and 4-2 overall, and the hottest team in the league now. LSU is getting closer.
  7. With games @ Ole Miss this Saturday, vs Vanderbilt, Nov. 5th, on the Plains, @ Georgia, Nov. 12th, vs. Alabama A&M, Nov. 19th and @ Alabama, Nov. 26th, the Tigers have a shot at the West. They can very well control their own destiny, Like all the teams contending for SEC and national honors, the Tigers need to stay healthy. But if they avoid any major injuries, this team has a chance to be really special in November.

Alabama

I wasn’t overly impressed with the Crimson Tide on Saturday against Texas A&M in a 33-14 victory. Jalen Hurts didn’t have his best game. Still believe in Jalen and this team very much, but games looming @ LSU and vs. Auburn look tough now. Losing Eddie Jackson from the defense is a blow, so Hootie Jones and Tony Brown will have to step up. The Tide is @ LSU, Saturday, Nov.5th, home vs State, Nov. 12th, home vs. Chattanooga, Nov. 19th, then the Iron Bowl in Bryant-Denny, Saturday, Nov. 26th.  

Still a very talented team, but the Crimson Tide looked more vulnerable Saturday.

LSU

Looked super in their dominating performance, a 38-21 victory over Ole Miss in Death Valley Saturday Night. Leonard Fournette ran for 284 yards and 3 TDs including a 78 yard TD run that was spectacular. If he’s come to play now, watch out. When he’s focused and healthy, he’s phenomenal. Coach O has his Tigers energized and excited about playing and winning football games. He’s been a game changer for LSU. Watch out for these guys. Games left vs. Alabama,  Nov 5th, @Arkansas, Nov. 12th, vs. Florida, Nov. 19th, and @ A&M, Thursday, Nov. 24th. It’s a tough finishing schedule, but this group is superbly talented, so now it’s a three horse race in the West between Auburn, Alabama and L-S-U.

 

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