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November 9, 2012

Epic games for both our teams this weekend

VU @ Ole Miss

We’re 5-4 and one game away from a bowl game. They’re 5-4 and going for a bowl game. Pretty amazing what Hugh Freeze has done in his first year with the Rebs. I watched their spring game and it looked to me they’d win two games. But they’ve exceeded expectations and have played well this year. After a tough early season schedule, we’ve come alive. James has us playing as good or better ball than last year at this time. We’ve got a lot of momentum heading into Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Both teams should be very amped up for this one. Game time is 7 PM ET/ 6 CT on ESPNU.

We have to get it done on both sides of the ball. I know James has been talking about turnovers all year; we just haven’t gotten as many. We definitely have the players in the secondary to get interceptions. Trey Wilson, Kenny Ladler and Andre Hal are exceptional athletes who are all playmakers. Archibald Barnes is a playmaker at linebacker. We need some turnovers from our defense tomorrow. Offensive line will also be critical. Ole Miss has 27 sacks on the season. Linebacker Denzel Nkemdiche, who is the older brother of Robert, the number one player in the country in this year’s high school senior class who decommitted from Clemson yesterday, is a player himself. We’ll have to be aware of him and be able to block him. They had five sacks against Georgia last week. So Wesley Johnson, Ryan Seymour and company will have to be ready. They need to get Zac some holes too. Need Zac to have a good game. Jordan to Jordan and Jordan to Chris Boyd will have to be on.

This is a huge one in Oxford. I say we get it done.

Us 28, Hotty Toddy 24

 

Texans at Bears

Huge tilt at Soldier Field at 8:20 PM ET/ 7:20 CT on NBC with Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth on the call for Sunday Night football. The big question this week was whether Charles Tillman was going to play, as his fourth child was due on Sunday. That was a little bit nerve wrecking for Bears’ fans. Tillman said he’d be with his wife if the baby came on Sunday and would miss the game. Faith and family come first for sure, but football has got to be 1A. It turns out that Tillman and his wife will have their baby on Monday thank the Lord. We need the man to get us some turnovers against a pretty good offensive attack. Solid running game led by Arian Foster and pretty good passing game led by Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson. Tight end Owen Dainiel, who is having an excellent season for the Texans, is questionable with a hip injury.Their defensive line  is tough on quarterbacks. Defensive end J.J. Watt has 10.5 sacks. The Texans have 25 sacks as a team. But ARodge and the Packers threw all over them three weeks ago on Sunday Night, so if Jay can get protection, he can find Brandon, Earl and Hester for some big plays. Would love to see Hester return a punt for a score. He’s overdue. We need all three phases to be clicking in this one. Line will be critical. They have to prove they can get the job done if this team has a shot at a Super Bowl title this year. Left tackle J’Marcus Webb will be under the gun again this week blocking Watt. He’s gotta get the job done. The line has been better, but they’ve got a lot to prove this Sunday Night. But the defense and enough offense will get it done for the guys this time. The Soldier Field crowd doesn’t hurt either.

Lovie, Bears 28, Texans 24

‘Bama will be tested this week; AU tries to pull off the upset


This is not only a matchup of the Alabama defense vs the A&M offense, but it’s also a pretty good matchup of the Alabama offense vs. the A&M defense. That’ll be a big factor. Johnny Manziel may be the focal point of this game, but A.J. McCarron, T.J. Yeldon and the offense will be just as critical. I expect more of an offensive duel here with the better team pulling it out. On the Plains, AU tries to pull off a major upset over the 14 1/2 point favored Dawgs. Jonathan Wallace, Tre Mason and Onterio McCalebb will have to be at their best and the defensive players will have to play the best ball of their season if not their careers at Auburn. But both of these games should be fun to watch. ‘Bama is a 13 1/2 point favorite, but I’m not buying that. A&M lost to better defensive teams in Florida and LSU, and ‘Bama is just as good as those two defenses if not better. But A&M has probably learned and will have some new wrinkles offensively against the Tide. Here’s this week’s predictions:

Last week: 9-1; Overall: 95-27 (78%)

No.16 Texas A&M @ No.1 Tide

Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, (101,821)

When: 2:30 PM CT

Network: CBS; Verne, Gary and Wolf

Line: ‘Bama by 13 1/2

An interesting matchup will be A&M defensive end Damontre Moore vs Bama left tackle Cyrus Kouandijo. Moore has 11.5 sacks on the season, and Cyrus has played exceptionally this year protecting A.J. and opening holes for Eddie and T.J. The whole line for Alabama will be important as they always are. A&M is 11th in the country in sacks with 27 while the Alabama o line is 69th in sacks allowed with 18. T.J. and Eddie will be big factors in this game, particularly T.J. He’s kind of taken charge more back there. Sure the Tide wants to run the ball well; they want to control the game and keep A&M from getting the ball with their fast paced, high octane offense. And then there’s the task of stopping Johnny Manziel and the A&M offense. Not only Manziel, but tailbacks Ben Malena (637 yards and six TDs) and Christine Michael (321, yards, 8 TDs). Ryan Swope is a fantastic receiver and Manziel has other weapons on the perimeter. Manziel has run for 922 and thrown for 2,527 with 16 TDs against six ints. While the ‘Bama defense is good and could neutralize the run, Zach Mettenberger of LSU proved you can pass some on the Tide. So this is more of an offensive game to me. Tide in for a battle, but I’ll pick the Tide. Defense still pretty good, will do enough and the offense can score on A&M defense.

‘Bama 31, A&M 27

 

No.6 Georgia @ Auburn

Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Pat Dye Field (87,451)

When: 6 PM CT

Network: ESPN2

LIne: Dawgs by 14 1/2

Auburn is much better with Jonathan Wallace under center. Where’s he been all season? Auburn is going to play hard; they gained some momentum from last weeks’ win over New Mexico State.  But it was New Mexico State. Georgia is a very good football team on a mission, and I don’t think AU can stop’em. ‘Dawgs want to get to the SEC Championship game and maybe have an outside chance at the BCS national title game though they’d have to win out, beat most likely Alabama in SEC title game, and have Oregon, K-State and Notre Dame lose, but it’s not out of the question. The No.6  ‘Dawgs would vault LSU by winning out. A BCS bowl could be a very realistic possibility for the ‘Dawgs. AU may give them a good game for a while, but I just don’t think Auburn can stop Aaron Murray, Todd Gurley, Keith Marshall, Tavarres King and the rest of the Dawgs offensive arsenal. Wallace will be facing a hard-nosed, game changing defense this week led by linebackers Jarvis Jones and Alec Ogletree. Tough assignment for AU. Chizik looks like he’s in for his last dance this year. A Georgia blowout could speed up the process of firing him. Could be a long afternoon for Tigers.

Dawgs 38, AU 17

Other scores:

LSU 28, State 27

Vandy 28, Ole Miss 24

Tennessee 37, Mizzou 34

Florida 37, Lousiana-Lafayette 7

South Carolina 34, Arkansas 28

Stanford 31, Oregon State 28

Marshall 38, UAB 34

Nebraska 34, Penn State 28

 

 

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